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PEI election 2015
April 30, 2015 - 12:50am
PEI Election 2015
Predictions?
Does the NDP (or Greens for that matter) have a chance at gaining any seats?
NDP has a chance in two seats from what I've read: Montague-Kilmuir and Charlottetown-Lewis_Point
Green Party leader is appearantly leading according to a riding poll in Kellys Cross-Cumberland
Did we need a new PEI politics thread?
The PEI election debate is being rebroadcast several times, in case anyone is interested.
http://www.theguardian.pe.ca/News/Local/2015-04-30/article-4130069/Guard...
Hopefully it won't turn out like New Brunswick (NDP shut out and Greens 1 seat with less popular vote). 2 and one would be nice.
People have been wondering about the impact of the Alberta Election on the federal election. I wonder if it looks like a Liberal landslide in PEI that more people might consider voting for someone other than the Liberals or Conservatives.
NDP seem likely to be shut-out from everything I've read, including this: http://www.cbc.ca/news/elections/prince-edward-island-votes/districts-2-3-16-revisited-in-last-p-e-i-election-dash-1.3055874
Mike Redmond made a stupid move switching from the seat he had been campaigning for a year in Charlottetown to Montague (where he now lives and his family is from). He is running against a Liberal incumbent in the most Conservative part of the province. He will likely be squeezed out.
His performance in the debate was voted the worst by most polls and critics. I watched the debate myself and felt that he would win the "who would you most like to have a beer with" contest, but not the confidence of voters to lead a province. This situation is unfortunate as under his leadership the NDP was polling in 2nd for sometime.
The only other NDP candidate with a chance of winning, Gord McNeilly, is running in Charlottletown-Lewis Point. If elected, he would be the first non-white person to ever be elected on PEI. But he too is running against a Liberal incumbent.
While the NDP will regain the '3rd party' status in the vote totals from the Green Party (as they are running a full slate), the Green Party seem to poised to gain a seat. This will be an almost identical situation from the New Brunswick election last year.
Joe and Robert Ghiz, both former Liberal Premiers of PEi, are partly Lebanese, which is non-Caucasian.
To the extent that Caucasian means anything (the validity of the term is disputed by many anthropologists) Lebanese are Semetic Caucasian people.
Election Results:
http://www.cbc.ca/includes/provincialelections/peivotes2015/dashboard/
LEADING
LIB - 7 (48%)
PC - 1 (37%)
NDP - 0 (10%)
LEADING
LIB - 9 (48%)
PC - 2 (38%)
NDP - 0 (9%)
LEADING
LIB - 11 (46%)
PC - 5 (38%)
NDP - 0 (10%)
LEADING
LIB - 14 (45%)
PC - 6 (39%)
NDP - 0 (10%)
GPC - 0 (6%)
NDP Gord McNeilly leads LIB Kathleen Casey by 14 votes in Charlottetown-Lewis Point.
LEADING
LIB - 15 (45%)
PC - 6 (38%)
NDP - 1 (10%)
GPC - 0 (7%)
LIB - 17 (44%)
PC - 6 (38%)
NDP - 1 (10%)
GPC - 0 (6%)
LIB - 18 (44%)
PC - 6 (38%)
NDP - 1 (11%)
GPC - 0 (6%)
Gord McNeilly winning by 30 votes with 5/13 polls
Mike Redmond trailing by 9 votes with 1/10 polls
Gord McNeilly winning by 74 votes with 6/13 polls
Trailing by 41 votes with 3/10 polls
6/13 polls
NDP still leads in CHARLOTTETOWN-LEWIS POINT
PC Leader Rob Lantz still trailing to Liberal Jordan Brown 667 -597
Trailing by 26 votes with 4/10 polls
NDP McNeilly extending lead 281 to 207 over Liberal Casey in Charlottetown -Lewis Point
Gord McNeilly winning by 74 votes with 7/13 polls
Gord McNeilly winning by 103 votes with 8/13 polls
Popular vote is getting tighter one hour in 43% Liberal and 38% PC, Libs lead 17 and Tories 7
Wonder if PEI NDP is getting a bump in support from the Alberta surge?
It's impressive for a new leader like Wade MacLauchlan to win an election tonight, and also make history as the first gay PEI Premier, but it's obviously not as big a win as originally predicted.
NDP & GPC each taking a chunk of the vote.